Archive for » October, 2009 «

Thursday, October 08th, 2009 | Author: Dirty Harry

Well, the Braylon Edwards saga is finally over in Cleveland, and bettors are obviously wondering how this impacts them at the sportsbook.

Edwards was shipped to the New York Jets this week on the heels of controversy; he was involved in some sort of fight or fracas at a nightclub and even drew the ire of local hero LeBron James. Given all the issues and headaches over the past few years, Cleveland isn’t going to miss the big wide out much—he’s only caught 10 passes this season—and the package of WR Chansi Stucky, LB Jason Trusnik and two draft picks adds some depth to a pretty bare cupboard in Cleveland.

More importantly, how does the addition impact the Jets, who are 3-1 and quickly establishing themselves as a major surprise team in the AFC? To be honest, probably not much.That probably sounds surprising since we’re talking about a big, strong, former first-round pick. Save for a 1289-yard, 16-touchdown season two years ago, however, Edwards has failed to live up to the hype and he’s indirectly cost people on NFL odds many times.

The Jets’ Mark Sanchez has made an impressive debut this season, and we’re betting management would be thrilled any time it can add a big, sure-handed receiver to help out its rookie starter. Unfortunately, Edwards only has one of those two things covered. The former Michigan Wolverine has a chronic case of the dropsies, something that won’t enamor him to Sanchez or the Jets’ faithful.

There’s no doubt Edwards will make some big plays, especially with the strong-armed Sanchez at the helm. But expecting him to duplicate that magical 2007 season is simply a stretch, at least this season (remember, Edwards is only 26 years old). If there’s an X-factor, it’s that the bitter receiver will be looking to stick it to his former team—and we all saw how that worked out for Brett Favre on Monday—and explodes. That’s unlikely given his slow start and playing with a rookie, but you never know in the NFL.

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Tuesday, October 06th, 2009 | Author: Dirty Harry

After last night’s Packers debacle, I’m not exactly eager to talk about NFL Week 5 odds. So, for now, good bye struggling Packers, hello struggling Leafs.

Toronto has opened the season 0-2 and, naturally, there’s panic in Leaf Land. Admittedly, some of the concerns are warranted—to a degree. First of all, get serious people—Toronto wasn’t expected to compete for Cup this season. The playoffs were (ARE) a possibility, though it’s going to take a lot of scratching and clawing to get there, and Toronto will only be an eighth-seed that’s quickly ousted.

As far as trouble spots are concerned… yes, the defense has looked bad. With a top four of Kaberle, Schenn, Beauchemin and Komisarek, Toronto was expected to shore up a once-porous defense. Yes, things have been incredibly leaky through two games, with the Leafs “D” constantly getting beat one-on-one, but that’s no reason to panic. These guys are only getting to know each other. Once they become more comfortable with one another, a lot of this slip ups and mistakes should disappear—especially the costly errors by Beauchemin and Komisarek, who seem to be pressing to make big plays in their first season as Leafs.

Here’s a real question for sportsbook fans: what can we expect from the goalie situation? Vesa Toskala admittedly looks finished, and the team announced Jonas “The Monster” Gustavsson will get his first career start tonight. I wasn’t enamored with the big, lanky Swede during his relief appearance against the Caps on Saturday—he looked awkward and out of position—but I’d be a hypocrite if I jumped the gone and doubted the guy after 40 minutes of hockey.

As for tonight’s game… an 0-3 start is a definite possibility. The visiting Ottawa Senators made some solid improvements last season and now field a pretty nice top-six. Of course, if the Leafs defensive corps can get things together, that might not matter.

I like Toronto if they can weather an early storm. The crowd will be loud and boisterous, and Beauchemin and Komisarek will probably come out a little too anxious again. If they can minimize their mistakes, though, and stay out of the box early, I expect the youngsters like Gustavsson and Viktor Stalberg to make their presence felt. If things do get out of hand, they’ll REALLY get out of hand and it’ll look like there’s a price per head on every Senator. The gloves will come off often.

Either way, if you’re an online sports betting fan I wouldn’t put money on this game, but it’s certainly worth watching for future reference.